Monday, March 15, 2004

New Prime Minister Elected in Spain; Break in Ohio Sniper Case

New Prime Minister Elected in Spain; Break in Ohio Sniper Case

Aired March 15, 2004 - 22:00 ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

AARON BROWN, CNN ANCHOR: We meet again from Baghdad. Behind us is called the Water Palace. There are a lot of palaces here and that one was built by Saddam for his sons as a hunting lodge. It isn't used that way anymore.We spent the last two and a half days traveling with General John Abizaid. General Abizaid is responsible for Iraq and Afghanistan, for Pakistan, for the Horn of Africa, what well may be the most dangerous and important part of the world we live in today and you'll hear the general's candid remarks about the military and the political situation at length tonight.In the general's view we are entering a very dangerous period in Iraq for both the Americans and the Iraqis but Iraq today is not simply a military story and so tonight you will also see the building blocks of democracy being constructed and you'll meet some of the young Americans who are helped doing the building.There's no guarantee how that turns out that these building blocks will blossom into a full democracy or even what democracy in this part of the world means. We can't know that yet and we won't know that for some time but you'll see the start and the start matters.We'll do that in a bit tonight but first, as we always do, we begin the program with the whip and for that we go to Anderson Cooper in New York.

ANDERSON COOPER, CNN ANCHOR: Aaron thanks very much, back to you shortly.The whip begins with repercussions in Spain, Washington and around the world from the bombings in Madrid, Spain first and CNN's Diana Muriel, Diana, a headline.

DIANA MURIEL, CNN CORRESPONDENT: The investigation into Thursday's bombings here in Madrid continues, evidence emerging of a link between one of the men detained by Spanish authorities here last week and the leader of an al Qaeda cell operating in Spain. That man, the leader of that cell, already extradited to Morocco by the Spanish authorities in connection with his alleged involvement with the Casablanca terrorist attack last May.

COOPER: Diana, back to you. On to the complications for the war on terror being felt keenly today, at the White House CNN's Dana Bash with that side of the story and a headline -- Dana.

DANA BASH, CNN WHITE HOUSE CORRESPONDENT: Well, Anderson, the election results in Spain certainly came as a surprise here at the White House. Nevertheless, the president did place a call to the prime minister elect in Spain telling him what aides told us all day long which is that he cannot allow his election to let the terrorists think they won -- Anderson.

COOPER: Well, next to one of the birth places of the American nuclear arsenal for a display of some pieces of Libya's own Manhattan Project, CNN's David Ensor with the headline from there -- David

.DAVID ENSOR, CNN NATIONAL SECURITY CORRESPONDENT: The Bush administration invited reporters to Tennessee for a first look at some of the nuclear materials flown out of Libya, including nuclear materials from the black market network of Dr. AQ Khan of Pakistan. We'll show them to you.

COOPER: And finally a break in the case of the sniper who has been terrorizing drivers along a stretch of Ohio highway. CNN's Eric Phillips is covering developments as they unfold, Eric a headline from you please.

ERIC PHILLIPS, CNN CORRESPONDENT: Anderson, it's been ten months, 24 shootings, and tonight authorities name one suspect in the Ohio highway sniper shootings but along with the announcement comes a serious warning for the public.

COOPER: All right, Eric, back to you. Thanks to all of you. We'll be back to you shortly.Also ahead on the program tonight we'll go back to Iraq for Aaron's report on the American men and women who are working hard to bring order out of chaos.And later, Aaron's interview with the man in charge of the military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan General John Abizaid and his thoughts on the continuing dangers there, all that to come in the hour ahead.We begin in Spain where effects of the bombings last week are being felt in two ways tonight, the first personal. It is familial and to Americans intensely familiar. Nearly every Spaniard, it seems, knows someone or someone who knew someone who died on Thursday.The second effect is political and may, in fact, stem from the first. Spain's part in the occupation of Iraq never enjoyed much popular support. Despite that the ruling party was expected to survive the election, that is until the bombs started going off. Now it's a terrifying new world for Spain and a new complication for the White House. Here again, CNN's Diana Muriel. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

MURIEL (voice-over): Spain has voted for change. In a shock result, the Socialist Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero will become prime minister.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE (through translator): I expected the Socialist Party to do well but not to actually win the election.

MURIEL: Many here believe his success is down to the way in which the outgoing Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar, handled the continuing investigation into Thursday's terror bombings in Madrid. Aznar was quick to blame the armed Basque separatist group ETA but evidence now points to the possible involvement of Islamic extremists.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE (through translator): People when they found out how the government was manipulating the information about the attack they went out to vote against that.

MURIEL: Now Zapatero must deliver on his election promises and he was quick to repeat his pledge to pull Spanish troops out of Iraq.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE (through translator): Spain has to solve her own problems like ETA before going out to solve anyone else's.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE (through translator): People think if we get the troops out of Iraq there won't be any more attacks here.

MURIEL: Whether or not the Madrid train bombings are related to Spain's involvement in the war in Iraq the threat of terrorism is one Zapatero will have to face. This change in administration comes at a time when Spain is still struggling to recover from the tragic events of last week the signs of mourning still evident throughout the capital.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

MURIEL: Even now in the early hours of the morning, Spaniards still come to this makeshift shrine at the Central Madrid Station where so many of the victims died to stand and weep -- Anderson.

COOPER: Diana, where does the investigation now stand? What is the latest?

MURIEL: The latest that we're hearing is that there are links emerging between one of the five men detained by the Spanish authorities over the weekend. His name is Jamal Zugam (ph) a 31-year- old builder. Police were led to him by the contents of an unexploded bomb that was in a backpack and a telephone that was in there and a calling card that was in there.The investigation, CNN has learned, has made links between this man and his friend a man called (unintelligible). Now he is -- his brother has been extradited to Morocco by Spanish authorities. He is suspected of being involved in the Casablanca terrorist attack of May 16th last year when more than 30 people were killed. So there appear to be links between some of the men detained by the authorities here and previous terrorist attacks -- Anderson.

COOPER: All right, Diana Muriel in Madrid thank you.As we said, President Bush has lost a staunch ally in Mr. Aznar or as a columnist today put it, as of Sunday Spain has rejoined Old Europe.Here's CNN's Dana Bash.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Mr. President, what does the Spanish election do to your coalition in Iraq, sir?BASH (voice-over): President Bush did not answer questions about the Spanish election upset that surprised the White House but he privately instructed aides on the message of the day the defeat of a key ally in Iraq and against terror does not mean victory for terrorists.

J. ADAM ERELI, STATE DEPARTMENT SPOKESMAN: The party leader Mr. Zapatero Rodriguez has said his first priority would be fighting terror.

BASH: Trying to put the best face on things, Mr. Bush placed a brief congratulatory call to Spain's new prime minister elect. The conversation was limited to combating terrorism.A year ago, Spain's current Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar was one of a handful of European leaders to buck opposition at home and the United Nations. He supported the U.S.-led war in Iraq and sent 1,300 troops.

JOSE LUIS RODRIGUEZ ZAPATERO, SPANISH PRIME MINISTER ELECT (through translator): The Spanish troops who are in Iraq will come back home.

BASH: Bush officials and some GOP allies insist although Mr. Zapatero campaigned against the war in Iraq the situation following last week's terror attack is too complicated to call this an outright slap against the president.

SEN. RICHARD LUGAR (R), SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE CHAIRMAN: Everyone ought to carefully evaluate the Spanish election. We ought not to jump to conclusions.

BASH: But others aren't so sure.

SEN. CHUCK HAGEL (R), SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE: When you're looking at the numbers that were violently opposed to Aznar's policy putting 1,300 Spanish troops in Iraq, initially with the Bush administration on the invasion of Iraq a year ago there's going to be a consequence for that.BASH: One consequence Bush officials are working to avoid more leaders pulling support in Iraq for fear they may be the next terror target giving Senator John Kerry more ammunition as he tries to paint the president as a unilateralist who threatened national security by going to war without enough international support.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

BASH: And Spain's election upset comes as the White House engages in a weeklong PR blitz to mark the year anniversary on the war in Iraq. The finale here on Friday President Bush will speak to an audience of coalition members, including a representative from Spain to try to convince them of the importance of staying the course in the war in Iraq and on terrorism -- Anderson.

COOPER: Dana, I'm interested in the reaction in the White House to the events in Spain subsequent to the bombing, the replacement of the government. Is there a sense of disillusionment, a sense that this is exactly what the terrorists intended?

BASH: Well, certainly that is the fear. There's no question about it. You know when you talk to aides privately on the phone and try to get the real sense of how things are, certainly they say that this -- that the terrorists are essentially indiscriminate that they bombed obviously not only Spain but other places where the United States has allies like Saudi Arabia, like Indonesia.So they're trying to sort of look at it from the big picture but that is definitely the fear that this is going to have a domino effect perhaps, not only beyond Spain but in other countries in Europe. That is why the president made a phone call this morning quickly to the prime minister elect and that is why you saw aides and top officials out saying that the important thing is that no one can let the terrorists essentially win. That is certainly the fear.

COOPER: All right, Dana Bash thanks very much at the White House.A potentially significant development now to report from Saudi Arabia, American officials tell us al Qaeda's chief of operations in the region has been killed in a shootout with Saudi police. He went by the name Khalid Ali Hajj. He was also know as "The Poet."In other news, in Tennessee today the White House held a show and tell for reporters to show off what it is touting as a show of success in the war on terror. On display, pieces of Libya's nuclear arms program, equipment surrendered in January after Libya's surprise agreement to rid itself of weapons of mass destruction.The components were shipped to a military complex in Oak Ridge where the United States developed the original atomic bomb and that is where reporters got their first look.Here's CNN's David Ensor.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

ENSOR (voice-over): Behind lines of security men with M-4 assault rifles, the Bush administration unveiled some of the fruits of its successful diplomacy with Libya, 48 crates and boxes of sensitive nuclear weapons program components loaded into a C-17 transport plane in Libya and delivered to Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

SPENCER ABRAHAM, ENERGY SECRETARY: In my mind is that all the ingredients were available for a weapons program to be developed.

ENSOR: On show in a tent were gas centrifuge casings sold as part of $100 million deal to Libya by the black market network of Pakistani scientist Dr. AQ Khan. Inside the crates are the rotors and other key parts. In all 4,000 centrifuges are coming out of Libya, officials say, along with Scud missiles.

JAMES WILKINSON, DEPUTY NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISER FOR COMMUNICATIONS: There's a lot more that's on a ship on the way over here right now that is due to dock at an East Coast port in the coming days.

ENSOR: Colonel Moammmar Khadafi apparently decided to come clean on his WMD programs in the hopes of getting American oil companies back into his country. While the secret diplomacy leading to the breakthrough started well before the Iraq war, Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham argues the war must have been a factor.

ABRAHAM: Colonel Khadafi has not previously demonstrated much of a willingness to voluntarily reduce his military capacity. This time he did because I think he recognized the United States was unwavering in our willingness to do what we have to do to protect this country and the world from rogue nations or people obtaining weapons of mass destruction.

ENSOR (on camera): The show and tell was notable for what we're not seeing as well as what was shown. Officials assure us that inside these crates are critical components of gas centrifuges for making bomb grade uranium. Secretary Abraham says they're not revealing more for fear of helping others to figure out more about how to make a bomb.David Ensor CNN at the National Security Complex in Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

COOPER: Well, politics back here at home now there are two John Kerry and Dennis Kucinich are now the only active candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination technically speaking. The Reverend Al Sharpton today conceded defeat to Mr. Kerry and endorsed the presumptive nominee. The civil rights activist stopped short of formally ending his campaign; however, saying he's going to continue to seek delegates to try to influence the direction of his party. Senator Kerry has already locked up the 2,162 delegates needed to win the nomination. His sole opponent, Mr. Kucinich, has 23. Reverend Sharpton has 27.Ahead on the program tonight, we'll look at the political fallout from the bombings in Spain and a possible break in the case of the sniper who's been stalking the highways in Ohio.And in our second half hour Aaron Brown's interview with General John Abizaid.Around the world this is NEWSNIGHT.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

COOPER: In Spain today some very strong words from the new prime minister elect. Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero said he thinks Spain's participation in the war in Iraq has been a total error and wants the 1,300 Spanish troops in Iraq to return home by June 30 unless the United Nations takes control of the country.The vast majority of Spaniards oppose the war in Iraq and some have blamed the policies of Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar for Thursday's devastating train bombings in Madrid. Mr. Aznar, one of President Bush's most loyal allies in the war in Iraq paid at the polls yesterday.Philip Gourevitch is the Washington Correspondent for "The New Yorker." He has also covered the United Nations and international relations for the magazine. He joins us now from Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. Philip thanks for being with us. How surprised were you by the vote on Sunday?

PHILIP GOUREVITCH, "THE NEW YORKER": Well, I think everybody was surprised by the vehemence of it and by the obvious connection between the bombing and the electoral outcome, the sense suddenly that maybe this was all, as it were, intended by the terrorist. I think that's perhaps the shock that we're trying to assimilate right now is that this could have been shrewder and more calculated than anybody had really understood when they just were first trying to assimilate the images of horror from those trains.But that, in fact, by making a bombing like that a few days before an election of one of the allies in the Iraq war, one of the governments that had taken the side of George Bush and the Americans in going to war in Iraq that that had all perhaps been an attempt to play a political hand, to destabilize that regime and to harness the emotions of the Spanish people.

COOPER: If that is in fact true, which it seems increasingly to be then the bombing was successful in all senses of the word. It was successful in killing large numbers of innocent people. It was also successful as the real objective of terrorism to have a political point and the vote on Sunday that you're saying then really played into the hands of what the terrorists wanted.

GOUREVITCH: I think that's right and I think it's one of the real problems that one is constantly confronting when one tries to figure out what is the proper response to terrorism. It is the terrorism is often quite successful in making one respond to it and setting an agenda that by virtue of its violence is successful. Now the idea would be well one should have resisted but I think it's also important to understand that when we look at these election results. One of the things that seems to be emerging is there are two lines one hears from Spain, from Spanish voters.On the one hand they're saying well the government of Aznar got us into this thing and in a sense the Spanish participation in the Iraq war served as a provocation and put us at risk.The other thing is that the Aznar government in the immediate moments and days following the bombing, the period of time between the bombing and the election seemed very eager to blame ETA, the Basque terrorist group that has created terrorist attacks throughout Spain in the past and I think it was the sense of deception that also inflamed the anger of the Spanish voters from all the reports that we're seeing.And so there was this sort of link between the war, which the Spanish voters opposed as high as 90 percent long before this bombing from the very beginning and which their president, with Aznar the prime minister had taken them into this war despite that. And what was really remarkable is that it looked like he was going to get reelected despite the fact that the war was 90 percent unpopular.

COOPER: But it's interesting because in the days, I mean after the bombing and before the election, I didn't really hear, and maybe it's just that I didn't follow the coverage carefully enough but I didn't really hear Spanish officials saying, look, you cannot fall into the terrorist trap of voting exactly what they want you to do.

GOUREVITCH: No because well I think the problem that the government was in is that it had sort of 72 hours to respond to the attack and make the bridge to the election and it seems from the way that it developed that the government continued to seek to blame ETA even as its own investigation was pointing more and more to an Islamic al Qaeda type link to these bombings.And what one saw was a kind of anger in the streets on the morning of the election in Spain of people saying, you know, we very much fear that we're not getting the truth here. We want the truth here and I think that that desire for the truth and the sense that there was a deception and the sense that over time this war in Iraq has consistently involved elements of deception, has been very much a part of this vote and that it wasn't simply a sense that we have to get out because look what danger it puts us in.

COOPER: Phil Gourevitch from "The New Yorker," appreciate you joining us tonight. Thank you very much.

GOUREVITCH: Thank you.

COOPER: A few more items now from around the world before we got to break starting in Karachi, Pakistan where the next deadly bombing might have taken place but didn't. It didn't because police managed to diffuse the bomb stuffed inside a minivan parked not far from the U.S. Consulate. It was discovered by consulate security guards who called the cops who went to work on the bomb, not a small bomb either, said one detective, "God has saved us." Pakistani authorities caution it is too soon to say who may have set the bomb. They do, however say they're chasing down a number of leads.Haiti's former president is back in the Caribbean, much to the dismay of Haiti's new government. Jean-Bertrand Aristide arrived today in Jamaica, not to seek asylum, Jamaica's government was quick to point that one out, but he does plan to stay until the end of May which isn't sitting well with Haiti's prime minister. "It is unfriendly" he says, said he'll recall Haiti's ambassador and boycott a regional meeting set to take place in Kingston at the end of the month.No chance of Mr. Aristide turning up here. It's a bit of a flight, about eight billion miles, the most distant object yet discovered in the universe. NASA calls it Sedna and it lives three times farther out than Pluto but its only a planetoid, smaller than a planet but bigger than an asteroid.Coming up on NEWSNIGHT tonight, the Ohio sniper case a suspect who police want to talk to about a rash of shootings along the interstate there. He is at large.This is NEWSNIGHT.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

COOPER: In Fresno, California, investigators today said that autopsies show that all nine people found dead in a Fresno home Friday were shot to death. A 57-year-old man has been charged with nine counts of murder but many questions remain in the case. Investigators are trying to sort out who the victims were and whether they all might be the suspect's children. The possibility of polygamy and incest are under investigation as well. Police discovered the bodies after they were called to the home over a custody dispute.On to Ohio and a break in the case there, authorities in Columbus today identified a suspect in a series of shootings along Interstate 270, one which killed a 62-year-old woman. The shootings began last May, you may recall, and have terrorized residents and stumped police until now.Here's CNN's Eric Phillips.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

PHILLIPS (voice-over): It's been ten months and 24 shootings. Now Ohio authorities say they have one suspect, 28-year-old Charles McCoy, Jr. of Columbus. They believe McCoy is driving a dark green 1999 Geo Metro with a black hood and Ohio tags. 

CHIEF DEPUTY STEVE MARTIN, FRANKLIN COUNTY SHERIFF'S DEPT.: Anyone who sees McCoy or his vehicle should contact the 911 operator immediately. We caution the public not to attempt to apprehend or confront McCoy.

PHILLIPS: Investigators consider McCoy to be armed and dangerous. They believe he not only has the weapon used in the highway shootings.

MARTIN: We believe he bought another gun.PHILLIPS: The shootings began along the I-270 Columbus beltway last May and appeared to be random. One incident was fatal. Sixty- two-year-old Gail Kniceley (ph) was killed back in November as she was riding in a car on her way to a doctor's appointment. The shooter seemed to become more brazen in the most recent attacks opening fire in broad daylight. Without going into detail during an evening press conference, Franklin County Chief Deputy Steve Martin would only say McCoy was identified as a result of evidence collected in the case.Part of the evidence may have been several eyewitnesses who have described the shooter to authorities. Now officials say they need the public's help to bring McCoy in.

MARTIN: We still think he's local but we're not absolutely sure on that.

PHILLIPS: They are absolutely sure they want the highway shootings to stop. The last one happened on Valentine's Day.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

PHILLIPS: Ballistics evidence shows that bullets collected from nine of the 24 shooting scenes were fired from the same gun. As the investigation continues tonight and the search continues for McCoy there's hope that soon this will all come to an end -- Anderson.

COOPER: All right, Eric Phillips thanks very much for that report.Moving on to business now tonight's Moneyline Roundup begins with Martha Stewart. She stepped down today from the board of the company she founded. In addition, Ms. Stewart dropped her title of chief creative officer but plans to retain a spot as founding editorial director."I'm heartsick" she said "about my personal and legal situation and deeply sorry for the pain and difficulties it has caused our employees." Shares of the company fell today about three and a half percent.Closing arguments today in the trial of Tyco's former CEO Dennis Kozlowski, his lawyer today urging jurors to disregard his lavish lifestyle which prosecutors say came at Tyco's expense. They'll have a whack at him in their summation which is expected to begin tomorrow.Call it the "pay me" state now, jurors in Joplin, Missouri have awarded a factory worker $20 million. The man claims he suffered lung damage at work at a chemical flavoring plant the chemicals in question buttery flavor from microwave popcorn. The Environmental Protection Agency is looking into the matter.And markets took another beating. All major indices were down for the day. So were all major indices.Ahead on NEWSNIGHT we'll go back to Aaron Brown's visit to Iraq and see some of the men and women who are trying to rebuild Iraq's infrastructure.And later the man in charge of it all, General John Abizaid and his thoughts about the challenges ahead and there are many.This is NEWSNIGHT from New York.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BROWN: You can find a lot of people in Iraq, both Americans and Iraqis, who believe that the central nervous system, if you will, for rebuilding this country lies in a group of men and women who are rarely seen. They are part of the Army's Civil Affairs Unit. And their job is to help build a democracy, or, more correctly, to help the Iraqis build a democracy of their own. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN (voice-over): This was Baghdad after the fall, right after the fall. Captain Shawn Mehana was there then and is still here now. 

CAPT. SHAWN MEHANA, U.S. ARMY: We rolled into Baghdad. There was no power. A lot of people weren't out in the streets. And I think they were a little bit weary of us still at the time. No sewage, no running water. It was like it was dead. And that was a little bit shocking to me, the fact that -- to see a city of 5.5 million people that is completely nonfunctional. 

BROWN: Ten months later, things are vastly different. Power is on more than it's not. The lawlessness of those early weeks has stabilized markedly. Things are much better, but they aren't perfect by any means. And the occupying force often gets the blame. After all, they are Americans. 

MAJ. SCOTT CALDWELL, U.S. ARMY: They think that we can go to the moon. We have a space shuttle. We conquered, we knocked down Saddam in two weeks. Hey, if you wanted us to live just like you live in America, right now, you could do that right now, but you're not for some reason. 

BROWN: The new Iraq, if it is to become a democracy of any sort, will be built one neighborhood a time. Civil affairs units go in and help set up neighborhood councils. This is democracy at its lowest level; 88 councils, all with American mentors, exist today in Baghdad alone. But the largest and the most important task right now is finding and training a new security force. After the regime fell, there was no law. There was no order. There were no police. There was no sense of safety or security. It was an enormous problem. 

MEHANA: When I first got here, we said, well, you know, at least under Saddam, the security force may come out and kidnap or kill somebody, but, at least, for the most part, I felt pretty comfortable walking on the street. Now they're in a situation where they feel like their security has improved a little bit. Now they're starting the next complaint. Well, the police are -- the police are abusive sometimes. 

BROWN: Training is slow, leaders hard to find. An effective chain of command is hard to create. It is happening slowly. And there's no guarantee that it will happen at all. Sovereignty is to be transferred the last day of June. The military will still be here, of course. But Iraq will start assuming responsibility for itself more and more each day, their choices and their future. (on camera): Do you ever think that you'll look back, when you're 40 years old and go, my God, look at it; it's not that much better?SPC. 

FRANCISCO FERNANDEZ, U.S. ARMY: That's a possibility, but once we put this government into their hands, what they do with it is ultimately up to them. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) (COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BROWN: You can topple a government in weeks. The war with Iraq proved that. But changing a country, changing a country takes far longer. But that's not to say that nothing has changed here. A lot has changed, much of it good, some of it not. Here's our Baghdad bureau chief, CNN's Jane Arraf. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

JANE ARRAF, CNN BAGHDAD BUREAU CHIEF (voice-over): A year ago, Amal Brahim and Nabil Abdhul Gafour were preparing for war, stocking up on rice and sugar, telling the children God would protect them if bombs fell. One year later, they've exchanged worry over the war for worry over almost everything else. Amal and Nabil live next door, but they've divorced. Amal says Nabil is a good person, but, in the end, we disagreed on everything. For 24 years, she's been a flight attendant for Iraqi Airways. Even though she hasn't fly much since trade sanctions all but grounded the airline in 1991, she still gets paid. Her life then was a whirlwind of overseas travel, from one trip to Los Angeles in '80s, a watch given to her by Saddam Hussein's now dead son Qusay. "It stopped during the war," she says. "I didn't bother to get it repaired." Now she's home taking care of her three sons and she doesn't know what to tell them about the future, when the present seems so unsafe. 

AMAL BRAHIM, IRAQI CITIZEN (through translator): I'm an optimistic person. Thank God I always say to myself things will get better. The reality is, it was bad and it's getting worse. 

ARRAF: She doesn't live any better than she did under sanctions, she says. Electricity is cheap, but there's almost none. Worried about safety, she escorts her 8-year-old son Tarraf (ph) from his school just a block away. She tries to make up for the schools, still suffering from years of neglect. When there is electricity, the children pay on a computer bought by Amal's sister in Norway. In spite of the satellite TV and other freedoms banned under Saddam Hussein, the boys say things aren't better. "It's not about games," says Ibrahim (ph), who's 15. "Now there are weapons in school. Before, there weren't."Amal has been told the Transportation Ministry might stop paying Iraqi Airways employees at any time, so she has been looking for a job. On this day, she goes to a coalition-run office that tries to help Iraqis find jobs. She once dreamed of opening a travel agency. Now, she says, she's looking for any office job. Meanwhile, across town, her husband, Nabil, is at work at the struggling Oil Ministry. He's worked here for a year trying to get the offices functioning again. In the afternoon, as Nabil goes home to his aunt's house, Tarraf comes running from next door. After washing, Nabil prays. They pray more at home now, the family says, because of fear of attacks at the mosque. Nabil makes only a little bit more than his prewar salary of $60. Half goes to help support the children. He was robbed of his first paycheck after the war, he says. He had taken $20 to the market to buy fruit for the children. A man came up to him, he says, and put a gun to his head. 

NABIL ABDHUL GAFOUR, IRAQ RESIDENT (through translator): I said, this is my salary. Let me keep it. I said to myself, he didn't come to kill me. He came to steal the salary. But when he pointed the pistol at my legs, I said, he was going to shoot me. 

ARRAF: He tries to be optimistic about the future for his sons, but his eyes fill with tears. 

GAFOUR (through translator): We are all in the hands of God. You can't feel anything tangible that will be good for them. 

ARRAF: Amal and Nabil lived through the terror of dictatorship and the pain of three wars. But a year after the last one, for them, the future and its uncertainty seem just as frightening. Jane Arraf, CNN, Baghdad. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN: We'll have more from here in a bit. We'll take a break first. From Baghdad, this is NEWSNIGHT. 

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BROWN: As we mentioned at the top of the program, we spent the last couple of days here traveling with General John Abizaid, who is in charge of the region. It would seem that General Abizaid was born for the job he now has. He is the child of Lebanese-American parents, a Californian by birth. He has studied the Middle East and Arab history and knows it very well. He is an interesting combination of field general, a war planner and an intellect, though I'm not sure he would like that description exactly. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

BROWN (voice-over): He starts his day with a routine staff meeting. What happened overnight? Were there incidents, as they call them? How many died? Who killed them? Were they caught? His intelligence guy gives him the good news and the bad. He's even told how the world press is reporting the story of Iraq and Afghanistan. He flies around the country to visit his command, a Polish general in charge of a large and true coalition, 24 countries, though some have sent just a few soldiers. They are south of Baghdad in a volatile Shiite area. It is an important region. His voice is quiet, his humor easy. He's a West Point grad who tells anyone who asks that, most of all, he is proud of the young men and women who do the real work, the hard and courageous work of being a soldier. At the end of a long day, we began by asking him of the dangers that lie ahead. (on camera): Over the next 30 days, what makes you nervous? 

GEN. JOHN ABIZAID, CMDR., U.S. CENTRAL COMMAND: Over the next 30 days, what makes me the most nervous is what I think is going to be a clear increase in violence by those that want to derail this process. And I think that because they know they're running out of time. Every day that Iraqis security institutions get stronger is a day that they'll have less and less of an opportunity to gain -- or to derail the process. And so, it makes me nervous that we're moving into a very intense political period. 

BROWN: When you talk about violence, are you more concerned about the kinds of attacks on Americans or are you concerned about the kinds of attacks that -- the mass suicide bombing sort of things or both? 

ABIZAID: Both. I mean, clearly, the other day, during Ashura, we saw a horrible series of bombings that took an lot of Iraqi lives. And over the past couple of months, we have seen an increase in attacks and assassinations against key Iraqi institutions and officials. And, clearly, attacks against Americans always concerns us, but attacks against the coalition is part of the price that we'll have to bear as long as we're here. 

BROWN: Implicit in that is a belief, it seems to me, that Iraqis, come June 30 or July 1, will see that government as legitimate. Do you believe they'll see it as legitimate? 

ABIZAID: Well, it's hard for me to predict exactly what that government's going to look like now, because we just don't know. At least we know military people don't know. Clearly, Ambassador Bremer is involved in negotiations with the Iraqi Governing Council.But I think the important way to answer the question is that I believe the government on the 1st of July must be seen as legitimate by the majority of the Iraqi people if we're to progress in a positive way. 

BROWN: And do you have a feeling about whether that will be successful? 

ABIZAID: I think it can be successful. I see no reason why it can't be.I think there's going to be a lot of compromise and a lot of political maneuvering that takes place. And there will be violent attempts to undermine the process that we'll have to do our best to thwart. 

BROWN: And are these -- are the bad actors the same bad actors that have been in play for months and months or is that changed in any significant way? 

ABIZAID: I think the bad actors are changing somewhat. Clearly, there are bad actors that go back to the days of serving in the Iraqi intelligence service and the Republican Special Guard forces that were very close to Saddam. But, also, there's this arrival of terrorist types such as Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. There's a strengthening of Ansar Al-Islam that was here in the early days. We hit them hard immediately after the war. They came back up. We hit them hard again and then they tend to resurge a bit. So, I would say there's a combination of the old enemies, the former regime elements, and the newer enemies that are more terrorist and more extremist in nature. 

BROWN: Is there a significant influx of, I guess, jihadists, people who are drawn to this sort of Super Bowl of terrorism, if that's what -- the way they see it. Is that a significant part of the puzzle? 

ABIZAID: I don't think it's a significant part of the puzzle. It's part of the puzzle. There's no doubt. There are foreign fighters, some of which are experienced that have served in places like Afghanistan and in various conflicts and now are making their way into Iraq, but small in number. And there are those that are drawn to the prospect of fighting the coalition or fighting other forces that they regard as being against their ideology that are less experienced. But the vast majority of the people that we are fighting and capturing and killing are still Iraqis. And the primary problem is internal, not external. 

BROWN: And are we talking about thousands of people, tens of thousands of people, hundreds of people? 

ABIZAID: Well, it all depends what we're talking about.BROWN: In total. 

ABIZAID: If it's active resistance, if it's active enemy activity directed against the coalition, I think the numbers are in the thousands. But if it's -- if you're talking about terrorists, I'd say the numbers are in the hundreds. 

BROWN: Do you believe it's realistic that there could be a political campaign and elections in this country by the end of the year? 

ABIZAID: I don't think anything will ever happen in this country the way we think it will happen. This country is culturally unique. It's filled with talented people. It's got a lot of resources. But, on the other hand, it -- it has a past that will help guide its future. And it won't be done in a way that we might necessarily recognize in the United States of America. They don't have a democratic tradition. They have a tradition of violent repression by the state. They have a tradition of an awful lot of warfare. They have a tradition of various tribal groups, religious sects, etcetera, being played off against one another. The question is, can you -- can you take the violent impulses and calm them enough to allow political moderation to surface? And I think the answer is, you can. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN: Just a quick end note: The general and his staff said from the beginning that we could go virtually everywhere him, attend every meeting, listen to everything. And they kept their word, and then some. They couldn't have been more open and more gracious. And for that, we, and more importantly you, will get a better understanding of the complexities, the dangers, the possibilities in this most important region of the world. We're very grateful for their openness. We'll take a break. NEWSNIGHT continues in a moment.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BROWN: Before we leave you tonight, a different view of Baghdad. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN (voice-over): From the air, though not very far up, you see a city that is alive. It may not look like your town -- your town probably doesn't have palaces or bomb damage -- but it is alive. Traffic flows, or, in some cases, stands still. And it seems that, on every roof, there are satellite dishes, banned in the old days, a link to the world today. Iraqis today have access to a literal world of information, good and bad, information to help fashion choices about their future as they rebuild. There is no guarantee how it turns out, but, clearly, there are small and encouraging signs that should not be ignored. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN: We move to Pakistan. Secretary of State Colin Powell will be there and we'll have a chance to talk to him. We'll also have the opportunity to talk to the Pakistani president, President Musharraf, who is critical in the war on terror and has, in just the last couple of months, survived two attempts on his life. NEWSNIGHT from Pakistan tomorrow.Good night from all of us in Baghdad. 

TO ORDER A VIDEO OF THIS TRANSCRIPT, PLEASE CALL 800-CNN-NEWS OR USE OUR SECURE ONLINE ORDER FORM LOCATED AT www.fdch.comCase>

Friday, March 12, 2004

A Look at Iraq One Year Later; Bush, Kerry Go Negative Early

A Look at Iraq One Year Later; Bush, Kerry Go Negative Early

Aired March 12, 2004 - 22:00 ET

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.

AARON BROWN, CNN ANCHOR: Good evening from Central Command in Qatar. This is the launch point for a trip that will take us into Iraq and to Pakistan if all goes according to plan and it sometimes does.It's almost a year now since the launch of the war with Iraq. It seemed like a good time to take a look and over the next few days we shall. We'll talk with the men and women in charge of running that war. We'll talk to the civil affairs officers in Iraq who are trying to build the country. We'll talk to soldiers on the ground and we'll talk to Iraqi civilians about the good and the bad of the last year and there has been a little of both.When we arrived here last night the word of this horrible terrorist attack in Spain was just starting to spread and while Spain is not in the area of responsibility for the men and women here that attack was very much on their minds.Who did it? Was it homegrown? Was it something else? It may not be their problem today but it may be tomorrow. That seems to be the way the world works these days.We'll be back from here with more in just a bit but this is NEWSNIGHT and NEWSNIGHT begins with the whip no matter where we are and so, for that, we go to Wolf Blitzer in Washington.

WOLF BLITZER, CNN ANCHOR: Thanks very much, Aaron, and we'll return to Qatar later in the program.Our whip includes coverage, complete coverage, everything going on in Spain. Our Christiane Amanpour will join us on that.We'll also follow all the latest developments here in Washington as well, a toughening of security in this country. CNN's Jeanne Meserve on that angle of the story tonight, Jeanne the headline please.

JEANNE MESERVE, CNN CORRESPONDENT: A visible increase in security, Wolf, but is it enough when just about anyone can walk on a train in this country carrying just about anything in their bags. Meanwhile, U.S. officials say it is just too early to say who was behind the carnage in Spain.

BLITZER: All right, Jeanne, we'll get back to you. Our Jeff Greenfield has also been looking at the political situation, one involving so-called smash mouth and trash mouth talking, Jeff a headline from you please.

JEFF GREENFIELD, CNN SR. ANALYST: Wolf, spring is not yet here but the campaign sounds a lot like fall with all the personal attacks. The question is why so nasty so early? We'll try to give you some answers later on.

BLITZER: All right, Jeff. We'll get back to you as well, get back to all of the others in just a few minutes.In our program tonight as well we'll take a close look at a program designed to ease the transition from war to peace for U.S. military personnel.And later, a look at the growing heroin, yes heroin problem among suburban teenagers, especially in New England, all that to come in the hour ahead.But we begin with a moment caught in the terror and confusion of the bombings in Spain, captured in a cell phone conversation a woman on one of the targeted trains as bombs go off and pandemonium erupts.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: Montse, listen. I'm, I'm in Atocha. There's been a bomb in the train and we've had...(screams).

(END VIDEO CLIP)

BLITZER: The woman survived. Now she and many, many more have some terrible days to get through. Much as it was in this country on 9/12/01, Spaniards on 3/12/04 were every bit as devastated, just as numb, no less angry and, by the looks of it, no less ready to face up to the terror.About 11 million Spaniards took to the streets today to comfort one another and demand justice. Investigators, meantime, went about the hard work of finding answers, both stories now from CNN's Christiane Amanpour.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

CHRISTIANE AMANPOUR, CNN SR. INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT (voice- over): Spanish investigators continue to pick through the wreckage of blown up train carriages looking for anything that could pinpoint the perpetrators. Despite the reported denials by ETA, the Spanish prime minister says the Basque terrorist group remains the prime suspect in the devastating attacks and he angrily reminded people of recent ETA arrests and thwarted bombings.

JOSE MARIA AZNAR, SPANISH PRIME MINISTER (through translator): What were the group trying to do when they were trying to come into Madrid with 500 kilos of explosives?

AMANPOUR: Even though they found a van containing detonators and an Arabic tape of Koranic verses, the interior minister says they have no hard leads pointing to al Qaeda.

ANGEL ACEBES, SPANISH INTERIOR MINISTER (through translator): None of the services or the security forces that we contacted has given us any indication at this moment that it could be an Islamic terror group.

AMANPOUR: Still, he's not ruling anything out and many here are asking whether this was al Qaeda's payback for Spain joining the U.S. war in Iraq.(on camera): Even as the investigation continues, more than two million voices rose in protest here in Madrid as people in this capital city and all over Spain answered the call to rally in defiance of this terrorism.(voice-over): Millions turned out to denounce the bombers as assassins and to show support for the victims. Despite a continuous downpour, citizens kept marching for hours holding banners aloft chanting, singing and sometimes cheering for freedom, unity and victory against terrorism.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: People in Madrid and all around Spain is very sad and there were a lot of dead people yesterday and we're trying to cope with that.

AMANPOUR: Indeed many said this would galvanize them into voting in Sunday's national elections, voting against the terrorists whoever they are.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

AMANPOUR: What we can say is that people are really, really eager to know who did this. When we asked them would it make a difference if it was al Qaeda or ETA they said no. Whatever it is, whoever they are, they're just monsters and animals the people that did this to us but we need to know who it was and why.And so this investigation is really crucial for them to get to the bottom of it to know why and who struck at the very heart of Spanish dignity and Spanish nationality in those terrible hours on Thursday during the morning rush hour.

BLITZER: Christiane, is there a sense that you're getting from where you are that people not only in Spain but elsewhere in Europe, whether in France or Germany, England or Italy they're beginning to sense they too are vulnerable just as the Spaniards clearly are?

AMANPOUR: Well, you know, many parts of Europe, including Spain, know terrorism. There have been, as you call them, these homegrown independence groups or others that have attacked various European cities and capitals over the last several years and today there were many European politicians, ministers, government members here in solidarity with the Spanish prime minister and, of course, people are concerned.Even though they have been through it, they know what terrorism is. What happened on Thursday was so far and away bigger than anything that had happened in Europe for as long as people really remember that it does worry people. It does indeed and particularly they want to know who it is and therefore why it is.

BLITZER: Christiane Amanpour reporting from Madrid, thank you Christiane very much.As we reported about 11 million people took to the streets today all across Spain, one in three Spaniards grieving in a very public fashion, others carrying on today or trying to despite the haunting memories that have returned.Here's CNN's Alessio Vinci.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

ALESSIO VINCI, CNN ROME BUREAU CHIEF (voice-over): The day after in Madrid, it is not business as usual. There are fewer commuters on trains and many who do travel are scared."There is a degree of fear" he says "but nothing like what we felt yesterday.""It is just one day after" says Jose Manuel Sierra (ph) "and you can see terror in a lot of faces but we need to keep on going day after day. We cannot stop living because of this."There is less work today for Joseph Alvarez (ph), a porter. For five years he's been buying lottery tickets from a kiosk at the (unintelligible) station. Today the kiosk is closed, the lady who ran it gone. "They told us she's dead" he says. He still holds the last ticket she sold him.

Relatives collect their dead at a makeshift morgue outside of town. Some find the task just too overwhelming. This man collapsed. For others, the burden is not knowing. This woman is still looking for her niece."Up to now they have shown us pictures of faces" she says "and none of them is her. At the moment we have nothing."(on camera): To help forensic experts identify some of the bodies, relatives are being asked many questions. For example, did the victim have a tattoo or a scar? Was he or she wearing jewelry or piercing? In worst cases, however, officials here say dental records, as well as DNA tests may be necessary to identify the rest of the victims.(voice-over): 

Hundreds of victims at hospitals. This man found his cousin badly injured. "It is very serious" he says. "The next 48 hours will be critical. We have to wait for progress on the injuries to his head. All we can do is try not to lose hope. You can't lose hope."Doctors appeal for blood donors and ask for help identifying one of the victims, a woman."Her hair is colored dark brown with shades of gray" he says. "She is between 55 and 60 years old and weighs about 50 kilos or 132 pounds."And Friday night in the rain thousands upon thousands of Spaniards take to the streets marching against terrorism with a promise and a plea, never again.Alessio Vinci, CNN, Madrid.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

BLITZER: In addition to being a human tragedy and a case of mass murder, yesterday's bombing is also clearly a wake-up call, especially in this country, a warning of how vulnerable railroads can be. Today came the response, not by any stretch of the imagination the last word in security, but just the same a fairly visible first step.Here's CNN's Jeanne Meserve.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

MESERVE (voice-over): U.S. transit systems were making a big show of the security they've laid on in response to the Madrid bombings and a bulletin from the Department of Homeland Security urging increased vigilance with special attention to unattended bags and backpacks. Why not move the country to threat level orange?

ASA HUTCHINSON, UNDERSECRETARY, DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY: It would be the wrong decision to make at this time. We want to know whether this is an incident that was directed at Spain that is no threat to the United States, whether this is an al Qaeda incident.

MESERVE: U.S. military and intelligence officials doubt ETA, if responsible, could have carried out the Madrid attacks alone and the simultaneous explosions could point to al Qaeda. Al Qaeda has in the past expressed interest in striking subways and, if it's involvement is established, that would change the U.S. response.

HUTCHINSON: You then recognize, of course, that this shows their continued capability and would certainly enhance the security even more.

MESERVE: For now there is this.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: The bombing in Madrid, Spain reminds us that terrorist attacks are still a reality.

STEVEN TAUB, WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREA TRANSIT AUTHORITY: Something that we continually stress that everybody needs to be on guard and to look for anything unusual and that's why we constantly make these station announcements.

MESERVE: But tightly securing the sprawling rail system is a huge challenge. For example, more than 700,000 people a day stream through Grand Central Terminal unscreened but there is no move towards airport type security.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

MESERVE: Meanwhile, the FBI has offered to assist in the Madrid investigation. As yet the Spaniards have not taken up the offer -- Wolf.

BLITZER: Why not simply do at train stations what's done at airports?

MESERVE: Logistically and financially it would be incredibly difficult. When you're looking at an airport there are a limited number of big airports. There are very few intermediate stops on flights, so you get people on. You can take them to where they're going.When you look at the rail system, it's a really sprawling system, hundreds, even thousands of points of entrance, many more people using it in the course of the average day. If you started screening the way you do at airports, it probably would paralyze the system. That's the way it looks now at least.

BLITZER: All right, a daunting challenge. Thanks very much Jeanne Meserve reporting.More now on the signs and signals that speak to who's responsible. What are Spanish investigators looking for right now? What does the early evidence show? And, for those who make it their business to know, what are their guts telling them tonight?We'll ask Brian Jenkins of the Rand Corporation. He's joining us tonight from Los Angeles. Brian, you've studied this for decades, terrorism. What does your gut tell you?

BRIAN JENKINS, RAND CORPORATION, TERRORISM ANALYST: It's still too early to say, Wolf. I mean certainly ETA has to be at the top of the list, although there are also some contradictory signals from this particular event. If it is ETA, it represents an order of magnitude escalation in the violence. I think their largest incident previously involved 21 deaths. We're talking about 200 deaths here. They simply have not gone in for this large scale indiscriminate violence.And at least one of the ETA spokespersons issued a denial. That doesn't let them off the hook and there is the possibility that it could be a very violent faction of ETA. 

ETA, in fact, is prone to factions, has split a number of times over the years and that's a dynamic we see in terrorist organizations. We can't exclude at this point either the possibility that this is somehow related to the global jihad that these are individuals connected to or inspired by the events in the Middle East by Spain's participation in the coalition forces in Iraq.Spain already was a target of a bombing in Iraq and this could be an extension of that. Certainly, there is much that puts Spain on the list going all the way back to the Reconquista, to the eight centuries of warfare between the Spanish and what at that time were called the Moors. There's a lot of history there. That seems to be very, very ancient history but it is not so in the minds of the current jihadist.

BLITZER: Brian, what about the possibility that there could be collaboration between ETA and al Qaeda or some sort of Islamist group like that?

JENKINS: It, again it can't be ruled out. I would say at this point that it seems to be a remote possibility. We don't have a precedent for that kind of collaboration between al Qaeda or the jihadist groups and non-Muslim groups nor do we have any evidence for ETA seeking support from the Muslim groups.ETA does have a history of cooperating with the IRA but those were two like-minded organizations. If indeed it did turn out to be that, that would be an ominous development because it would suggest that this global jihad can mutate and can transcend the current boundaries of Islamic extremism.

BLITZER: And Brian, finally, if it were simply ETA, homegrown terrorists, it would be one thing but if there is an al Qaeda connection, it bodes very, very ominously for everyone, not only in Europe but here in the U.S. as well, wouldn't you agree?

JENKINS: I would agree with that. In fact, I think this attack really bodes ill in either case because what it suggests that if it turns out to be ETA, unconnected with al Qaeda, it confirms a long term trend that we have seen and that is a trend towards the increasing incidence of large scale indiscriminate violence.Al Qaeda may be setting the path but other organizations are saying if that's what it takes to get attention, to make ourselves heard, to exert pressure, then we will operate at that level.

BLITZER: Brian Jenkins joining us tonight. Brian thanks very much, lots to consider based on what you said.

JENKINS: Thank you.

BLITZER: And just ahead on the program tonight, we'll turn to presidential politics and get our Jeff Greenfield, his expert opinion on what the presidential campaign has turned into and why it's apparently a little bit ugly so early.And later, Aaron will report from Central Command in Qatar with a look at some of the lessons the U.S. military has learned in the year since the war began. From Washington this is NEWSNIGHT.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BLITZER: In the virtual slugfest, also known as presidential campaigning, John Kerry hit back today, a counter punch to the one President Bush threw yesterday when he attacked Senator Kerry on taxes and defense.The new Kerry campaign ad accuses the president of misleading the country. A lot of people are talking about how ugly the campaigning already has become, which raises the question is the tit-for-tat meaner than usual and, if so, why so mean so early?Here's CNN's Senior Analyst Jeff Greenfield.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

SEN. JOHN KERRY (D), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: These guys are the most crooked, you know, lying group of people I've ever seen.

GREENFIELD (voice-over): From John Kerry's unguarded rhetoric...

ANNOUNCER: And he wanted to delay defending America until the United Nations approved.

GREENFIELD: To George Bush's tough new ad, this campaign has turned very harsh very early. Indecision kills, Vice President Cheney said of Kerry's alleged uncertainties.

KERRY: Bad rushed decisions kill too.

GREENFIELD: Bad rushed decisions kill, Kerry said of the Bush administration's war on Iraq. (on camera): Now, a word of caution is in order. The press loves to label every campaign bitter even if the candidates are just politely disagreeing on the issues but this time it is different tougher, blunter, way, way early. The question is why. The answer lots of reasons.(voice-over): First, in the old days candidates battled within their parties for the nomination. It took until the summer to sort this out. Now the contenders are picked in early March.Second, when incumbent presidents have the wind at their backs they can set a sunny upbeat tone.

ANNOUNCER: It's morning again in America.

GREENFIELD: Reagan's "Morning in America" in 1984.

ANNOUNCER: Building a bridge to the 21st Century.

GREENFIELD: Bill Clinton's "Bridge to the 21st Century" in 1996, though Clinton did run ads linking GOP nominee Bob Dole to House Speaker Gingrich.But the mood of America right now is darker. Four years ago most Americans said they were satisfied with how things were going. Today, most are not. This means the Bush campaign cannot stay above the fray, not when the polls show him even with or trailing his opponent.Third...

REP. DICK GEPHARDT (D), MISSOURI: In such a partisan way.

GREENFIELD: Four years ago the country was clearly hungry for a change from the pitched warfare of the Clinton years. Then Governor Bush ran on changing the tone in Washington. Instead of feeding red meat to the GOP convention, he said...

GEORGE W. BUSH, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: I have no stake in the bitter arguments of the last few years.

GREENFIELD: And his take on Clinton was almost sympathetic.BUSH: So many talents, so much charm, such great skill but, in the end, to what end?

GREENFIELD: This year by contrast the Democrats found themselves with a primary base steeped in intense dislike of President Bush. Howard Dean's rise was fueled in large measure by his insistence that the party confront the president head on.BUSH: Once again, Senator Kerry is trying to have it both ways.

GREENFIELD: That fervor in turn sparked a push by Republicans for the Bush campaign to answer earlier and more forcefully.

(END VIDEOTAPE)

GREENFIELD: Now, it is hard to imagine that this can keep up for almost eight months. For one thing, it could be politically stupid. Voters rarely put angry candidates in the White House but with a closely divided electorate and with genuinely big things at stake and with the political parties far more polarized ideologically than in the past, maybe it can.And, by the way Mr. President and Senator Kerry, can you prove where you were the night the Lindbergh baby was kidnapped? Wolf, this could be the next big issues.

BLITZER: I'm just wondering about that as well. But if it does continue over the next several months, who stands to suffer the most?

GREENFIELD: I think John Kerry does because he is far less known to the public obviously than the president is. The president four years ago gained a lot from the fact that he was seen as less intense, a little more at ease than Al Gore, maybe a little less hungry for the job, maybe not hungry enough some people said.And the idea that this still new figure to many Americans who haven't followed this process might be starting off with this intensely negative hammer blow after hammer blow I think might interfere with Kerry's other goal, which is to get the public comfortable with him, to like him, to feel, yes, this is the kind of guy I want in my living room every night for the next four years -- Wolf.

BLITZER: Jeff Greenfield reporting from New York, thanks Jeff very much.

GREENFIELD: OK.

BLITZER: And coming up on NEWSNIGHT, Aaron will return with a look at some of the lessons learned in a number of ways by the U.S. military and military personnel in the year since the Iraq War began. Stay with us.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BROWN: In conversations with senior military officials here today, they were very candid about the surprises they found in Iraq over the last year. The big surprise, of course, you already know, the failure to date to find any of those weapons of mass destruction but that's not the only surprise, not nearly.There was in some respects a failure to anticipate the degree to which there would be an insurgency, Saddam loyalists or foreign fighters attacking American forces but even that is not the only surprise, from the Pentagon tonight our Senior Pentagon Correspondent Jamie McIntyre.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

JAMIE MCINTYRE, CNN SR. PENTAGON CORRESPONDENT (voice-over): Before going to war against Saddam Hussein, the U.S. knew more about Iraq than any previous adversary. After all, it defeated Iraq's Army in 1991, patrolled its no fly zones for a decade and had access to intelligence from U.N. inspectors on the ground but there was a lot the U.S. didn't know and didn't foresee.Last summer with U.S. casualties mounting, the Pentagon was still in denial that after winning the major combat phase of the war, it was facing what its own dictionary defined as guerrilla warfare.

DONALD RUMSFELD, DEFENSE SECRETARY: I knew I should have looked it up. I could die that I didn't look it up.

MCINTYRE (on camera): It's the Pentagon's own definition, a paramilitary operation conducted in enemy held or hostile territory by a regular (unintelligible) indigenous forces. This seems to fit a lot of what's going on in Iraq.

RUMSFELD: It really doesn't.

MCINTYRE (voice-over): More than 500 Americans have died in Iraq, almost half from hostile fire since the end of major combat. Another big reality check came when the U.S. got a firsthand look at Iraq's decrepit infrastructure. Electricity and water plants were suffering from years of neglect.

RICH BARTON, CENTER FOR STRATEGIC AND INTERNATIONAL STUDIES: Part of it had been the sanctions. Part of it had been the gross and constant mismanagement of the Saddam Hussein regime.

MCINTYRE: Rick Barton led a team of experts from the Center for Strategic and International Studies on an inspection tour in Iraq last summer. They found the biggest miscalculation was what it would take to provide security.

BARTON: You have to start off strong and our inability to provide for public safety initially has created a complication that we've ended up having to live with.

MCINTYRE: Despite the Pentagon's insistence that looting was inevitable and that more U.S. troops would have only meant more U.S. targets, Barton and other experts argue having additional forces early on to secure armories and collect weapons might have made a big difference. And then there was the flawed idea that oil-rich Iraq could pay its own way quickly. 

PAUL WOLFOWITZ, DEPUTY DEFENSE SECRETARY: We're dealing with a country that can really finance its own reconstruction and relatively soon. 

MCINTYRE: While oil production is approaching prewar levels and exports have already brought in some $6 billion, that's still a fraction of the estimated $100 billion needed to put Iraq back on its feet. Jamie McIntyre, CNN, the Pentagon. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN: Central Command here is in the midst of a huge and hugely complicated rotation of troops. Thousands of new troops are coming in. Nearly 40 percent of them will be reservists and thousands more men and women are heading home. Most of them are anticipating and will find a very happy return. Some, more than you might expect, will find their return quite complicated. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: My name is Staff Sergeant Walston (ph). I'm originally from Harrisonburg, Virginia. 

BROWN: Its formal name is the Warrior Transition Program, a sort of self-help group the Navy and Marines have set up to ease the adjustment from war zone to home. 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You get some of the yuck out to heal. 

BROWN: They're called the Devil Docs, the front-line medical support during some of the worst, the bloodiest fighting in the war with Iraq. 

CHAPLAIN RON RINGO, CAMP LEJEUNE: They saw the worst of the worst. They saw their fellow corpsman who were wounded or killed come in before them and then they had to perform surgery or zip them up in a body bag. 

BROWN: War is hell, as they say, for everyone. But it seems especially hard if your job is to save lives. 

SCOTT COON, BRAVO SURGICAL COMPANY: The night before the war started, I can remember putting together an ambulance crew and knowing that they were going to an exercise and knowing them and knowing their wives and their kids and knowing that they were being told they were going to an exercise, but having a pretty damn good idea that they were going in harm's way and that there's a chance that I would see their wives and their children and they wouldn't be back. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: You want some eggs, buddy? 

BROWN: And it wasn't just their wives and their children Scott Coon worried about. His own marriage has suffered. 

JULIE COON, WIFE OF SCOTT: It definitely has affected our relationship. I almost feel like it's kind of -- we've been married for 10 years and it's almost back to like it's back to when we were first dating. I think, to everybody else, we just kind of put on our happy face. But when we're home, it's the reality of, wow, what he's been through, what I've been through without him. 

S. COON: If go into an environment that is stressful, it has human beings mutilated and killed, that's going to affect you. I don't know that I would call it combat stress, but I would say that it's a life-changing event. 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: This is a total team effort. 

BROWN: Julie Coon has gone through the Warrior Transition Program for spouses and it couple is now in counseling. And they are all too aware that divorce often follows long deployments. And so does post-traumatic stress. About 8 percent of Gulf War I vets suffer from it. And some worry that, with longer, more violent deployments this time around, it could be worse. 

COL. CHARLES MILLIKEN, WALTER REED ARMY INSTITUTE OF RESEARCH: The challenges we face in the current war is that there's ongoing violence and that correlates with a higher incidence of combat stress. We also are having a lot more soldiers exposed to that violence. We're rotating through a lot of Guard and Reservists and the total number of folks that will be exposed to that violence is going to be high. 

BROWN: But according to Scott Coon, it's a human reaction to a very inhuman experience. 

S. COON: You don't land bombs on people without mutilating them. And I can tell you that anybody who was out there that experienced what we experienced is going to have to cope with it. 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: We're here to help any way we can. 

BROWN: Which is why the military says it is doing more than ever before to deal with combat stress, recognizing that even the healers can need healing, too. (END VIDEOTAPE) BROWN: We'll be back later in the program. When we come back, Wolf returns with more of the day's news. In Qatar, this is NEWSNIGHT. 

(COMMERCIAL BREAK) 

BLITZER: A quick look now at some other stories making news around the country. In California, seven people, including an infant and three toddlers, have been found dead in a Fresno home and a suspect is under arrest. The bodies were found when police responded to a custody dispute call earlier in the afternoon. Witnesses told officers a man had their children inside. He surrendered when a SWAT team arrived. No word on the exact cause of the deaths or his relationship to the children. In Utah, a woman who refused a cesarean section has been charged with murder. Doctors allegedly had warned her repeatedly that the twins she was carrying would likely die without operation. She didn't listen and one baby was stillborn. 

Prosecutors allege the mother refused the C-section to avoid the scars from it. Today, she denied that charge, saying she had been afraid of the surgery itself. And another twist in the gay marriage fight today; 10 same-sex couples who had been denied marriage licenses in the past eight days filed suit against the state of New York. The mayor of Nyack, New York, and his partner are among the plaintiffs. 

On to the "MONEYLINE Roundup," which begins tonight with Halliburton, the contractor telling investors today not to expect any more bad news relating to its work in Iraq, this a day after military auditors called the company's cost accounting substandard in a major way. Halliburton and subsidiaries are the military's largest civilian partner in Iraq, with about $18 billion in contracts so far. Shares of the company rose nearly 5 percent today, rebounding from the beating they took yesterday. And, in Chicago, a buyer has surfaced for the country's tallest office building. MetLife is selling the Sear's Tower. A group of New York investors will buy it. They'll pay upwards $800 million for the privilege. Consumers remain weary about the economy. The University of Michigan's consumers confidence index fell a fraction this month. And the professionals were expecting a slight gain. But because investors expected an even worse performance, markets were up, the Nasdaq especially, a happy ending to a pretty gloomy week. And, in a moment, we'll have more news and we'll return to the bombings in Spain and an important question: Just how vulnerable are we right here in the United States? 

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

BLITZER: The bombings in Spain were a painful reminder that it doesn't take anything all that exotic or sophisticated to cause mass casualties. Simplicity in this case works and sadly it isn't hard to find other simple ways of doing horrible damage. Here to talk about that, Elaine Shannon. She writes about crime and terrorism in "TIME" magazine. Elaine, thanks very much. 

ELAINE SHANNON, "TIME": Thanks.

BLITZER: I know you're working on train safety right now, very high on the agenda. What are you learning? SHANNON: I'm learning that, first of all, al Qaeda's been very interested in rail, in trains. And we've known this from when we went into Afghanistan and even before from the '90s, when they were looking at tunnels, trains, bridges, all of that kind of stuff. And we also know that they tend to return to the same targets. They pick them out and then they go and go and go until they get one. And this worries the FBI and other people. 

BLITZER: Just to be precise, we don't know if this was al Qaeda in Spain or it was ETA or anybody else. SHANNON: No, we don't.

BLITZER: It's all speculation at this point. 

SHANNON: Yes, you can get plenty of people to speculate. And it could be a combination. We don't know. 

BLITZER: The whole nature of the simplicity in terror, we hear about biological warfare, chemical and nuclear. But there's a lot of damage that can be done simply with explosives. 

SHANNON: Exactly. And when I talk to people I say, what keeps you awake at night? And a guy said to me today who has to do this here in Washington, what keeps me awake is exactly this, trains, chemicals. There are chemicals on trains. You can blow up a car of chemicals on a train, pretty easy. You don't have to be in the car. You can just put something on the tracks. They're accessible. Plane, once you take it off, it's not that easy. 

(CROSSTALK) 

BLITZER: A lot of counter terrorism and law enforcement types have said to me since 9/11 that they're amazed -- they're thrilled, but they're amazed the kind of simple terrorism that you see elsewhere around the world hasn't really materialized here. 

SHANNON: Truck bombs or just get a truck full of gasoline. Five gallons of gasoline can make a huge fireball. And if there's something else toxic next to it, that will make an even worse mess of fumes and incineration.And you can imagine that near the tracks that go through the Washington suburbs up the Atlantic Corridor into New York, into New Jersey, all that. You could be really destructive. 

(CROSSTALK) 

BLITZER: Do you get a sense, speaking to the authorities, the experts you're speaking to, that significant progress is being made or that everybody is sort of just treading water? SHANNON: Well, it's very -- nobody wants to pay the price of securing, getting on the metro and securing train stations. We're not going to put up with the kind of detectors that we do at airports. And so what they're doing is telling us all of us as citizens to pay attention to those knapsacks, pay attention if somebody pulls a bottle of something out of a knapsack and looks like they're going to spread it around and report it. A lot of it is going to be up to us. 

BLITZER: But they do have certain techniques they use at subway stations beyond dogs that are sniffing the air, or whatever. They have other sensitive equipment, a lot of these facilities, that presumably help. 

SHANNON: Yes, they do have sensors. And you can set those sensors off with certain household chemicals. And that can cause stampede and panic itself. And you can shut down a lot of Washington.I was writing tonight about an episode here right before Christmas when a guy called in some bomb threats on the D.C. subway system and it shut down the system for the day. 

BLITZER: And that can happen.SHANNON: It was nothing. 

BLITZER: Elaine Shannon, from our sister publication, "TIME" magazine, as usual, thanks. Horrible thoughts, but thanks for coming in. 

(LAUGHTER) 

BLITZER: Up next on NEWSNIGHT, another horrible thought, heroin, it's a problem that's moving to the suburbs. We'll take a look at this growing problem, especially in New England. From Washington, this is NEWSNIGHT. 

(COMMERCIAL BREAK) 

BLITZER: Every so often, a demographic bombshell turns conventional wisdom on its head. This is one of those times. It's about heroin and where the problem is worst. The latest government data points to six states, ones you might not expect. Together, they are New England. Together, they also have the highest rate of heroin use in the country. And many of the users are very young. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I know of probably 15 people in a small town that I could get OxyContin and heroin from. 

BLITZER (voice-over): In the suburbs of Boston, heroin addicts are not found loitering in back alleys, but in high school hallways. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: I used to go to school and I'd buy my drugs in school, ask to go to the bathroom, you know. I sniffed them right off the sink in the bathroom or off my notebook in the stall. And I was good for the day. 

BLITZER: The convergence of new smuggling routes, low prices and intense potency has fueled a new wave of young heroin users in the region. 

MARK TROUVILLE, NEA SPECIAL AGENT: We have a huge heroin problem in New England. Colombian-based criminal organizations are dealing directly here with people in New England. 

BLITZER: Street purity is between 70 and 90 percent, compared to national average of 57 percent. 

TROUVILLE: They're flooding the market again. They're putting it out there that's more pure just so that the high is more intense. 

DR. P.J. KISHORE, ADDICTION SPECIALIST: How old were you when you started? UNIDENTIFIED MALE: Seventeen, fresh out of high school. 

BLITZER: Dr. P.J. Kishore has been treating addiction in Massachusetts for over two decades. Over the past few years, he's seen an alarming trend. 

KISHORE: Addiction is a younger disease. They start experimentation around 13, 14. By the time they're 17 or 18, they're hooked. Heroin has a bad stigma to it. But when it comes to OxyContin, they see no problem with it. It starts the addiction process and they'll all go to heroin. 

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: I was doing Oxy since I was like 15. 

BLITZER: Erin (ph) is 18 and has been clean since October 20. She started high school as a star athlete and honor student. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: I always wasn't pretty enough, I wasn't smart enough, I wasn't skinny enough. And the drugs kind of gave me that self-confidence to be somebody that I wanted to be. 

BLITZER: She says the majority of her classmates were doing OxyContin, heroin, or both. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: All the popular people of my grade, all of them ended up, you know, using. So, I'd say, probably about like seven out of 10 kids in my high school probably turned to them. 

BLITZER: Like most of Dr. Kishore's young patients, she started off taking OxyContin, a highly addictive opiate which is easily available without a prescription. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: When I started shooting heroin, it was cheap. It was always around. I could get $5 bags of heroin or I would go and I would buy like a $40 bag or a $50 bag, which was, you know, a couple of good shots. 

BLITZER: The heroin is so potent that the physical addiction takes hold almost immediately. 

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: It didn't register in my mind that, oh, my God, I'm shooting heroin. It's almost like I was happy because I had found something better, you know, something inexpensive, something that instantly made me feel the things I wanted to feel. 

BLITZER: So what is being done to curb the flow of heroin into the area? The DEA says they're doing everything they can to cut off the supply. 

TROUVILLE: Our long-range goals really are to go after the big international organizations that are causing all these drugs to flow into our country. And the local police who are tasked to work on these street corners and stuff, they simply have their hands full. 

BLITZER: Once the heroin seeps into the suburban communities, it largely becomes a local problem, a problem communities and schools are just starting to come to grips with. 

KISHORE: The name of the game in addictions is catch them young. Unless we have doctors, public health officials and community leaders working together, there will not be an answer. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BLITZER: Pretty serious stuff. Aaron will return in a moment with a look at one of the key players at Central Command in Doha, Qatar. So I'll say good night for now. Hope to see you on Sunday in "LATE EDITION," the last word in Sunday talk. Among my guests, the defense secretary, Donald Rumsfeld. NEWSNIGHT continues in a moment.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK) 

BROWN: Deep inside this complex is a unique command center. They keep track of both Iraq and Afghanistan there. And it is filled with one of the important tools of modern warfare, laptop computers. The man in day-to-day charge is unique as well. He's a helicopter pilot turned -- well, he describes it as orchestra leader. And you'll see why. He's a reserve officer with a very full plate. 

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN (voice-over): In this crowded room, more a trailer, really, than an office, Navy Captain Jim Stahlman is in his element, a key officer helping to oversee the American occupation of Iraq. (on camera): This room operates 24 hours a day. 

CAPT. JAMES STAHLMAN, U.S. NAVY: Twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week. It's been operating that way since September 12 of two years ago. 

BROWN: Is that right? 

STAHLMAN: Yes, sir. 

BROWN (voice-over): It is not easy. When his boss, the overall commander, General John Abizaid, testified in Washington last week, Stahlman had to anticipate the questions and come up with the answers. 

STAHLMAN: Last week we had a great example. General Abizaid was up in front of Congress testifying. We had to provide answers to the questions that he was going to be asked. Interesting process that they go through to get those answers. But, basically, I play orchestra conductor back down here. I had 15 people all with a question or PowerPoint slide or something that they needed to work on, and I just direct the efforts. 

BROWN: The military, as you would expect, says it is proud of the things it has accomplished in the year since the invasion. Fewer soldiers are dying from those improvised explosive devices. The 100 million tons of weaponry -- 100 million tons -- in Iraqi hands is slowly, but steadily being destroyed. New electrical generators are coming online.But, most of all, says Captain Stahlman, the military is proud of its people. (on camera): What do you think your country men and women back home (OFF-MIKE) don't know and need to know? 

STAHLMAN: What they don't know is the level of effort of the kids on the ground that are 18 and 19 every day out there. BROWN: You don't think they know that? 

STAHLMAN: I don't think that they do. I think they know that they're there, but I don't think they understand what it's like to put on a flak vest, put on a helmet, strap a backpack on that's got 10, 15, 16 clips of ammunition on it, put your gun over your shoulder and know that there is a pretty darn good chance that something is going to blow up or a bullet is going to go by your head tonight.That's a hard thing to do and those kids are doing it 16 hours a day up there. 

(END VIDEOTAPE) 

BROWN: Tomorrow, we head into Iraq. There are many issues facing the country, as the June 30 deadline approaches. That's the time when the Americans will give Iraq back the power and authority to remake itself, to redefine itself, to become the country it is trying to become. It is hardly, though, the end of the American presence there, but it is an important marker. And we'll be reporting on that, on the preparations, how it's going. That's next week on NEWSNIGHT. That's our report for tonight. Have a good weekend. And good night for all of us. 

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